June Real Estate Update

July 19, 2023

Published on: July 6, 2023

 

Brokers with Northwest Multiple Listing Service reported their highest volume of closed sales last month (6,842) since September 2022’s total (7,504) as buyers competed for limited inventory.

The Northwest MLS report summarizing June activity showed there was about six weeks of supply (1.55 months), with twelve of the 26 counties having less than two months of inventory. Among those were King, Kitsap, Pierce and Snohomish counties, where nearly 55% of the inventory is located. Five counties reported having more than four months of supply (Columbia, Ferry, Kittitas, Okanogan, and San Juan).

The latest NWMLS report shows the number of active listings of single family homes and condominiums systemwide is down nearly 21% from June 2022 (10,607 versus 13,405). For single family homes (excluding condos), year-over-year inventory is down about 22.4%, while condo inventory declined 9.2%.

Pending sales for June totaled 7,759. That is a decline from both May’s total of 8,120 (down about 4.4%) and from the year ago total of 8,937 (down about 13.2%).

Last month’s 6,842 closed sales marked the largest number of closings since September, but compared to June 2022 the volume was down about 24%.

“In real estate, it is all about the supply and demand principle,” said J. Lennox Scott, executive officer at John L. Scott Real Estate. “In the current housing market environment, in the more affordable and mid-price ranges where 80% of transactions are occurring, we are observing a virtually sold-out market which has been sending prices higher,” Scott stated.

On a brighter note for buyers, NWMLS members added 9,481 new listings to inventory during June. That’s the highest total since August 2022 when brokers replenished inventory with 9,914 new listings.

“Demand continues to keep the existing and new inventory in check as buyers compete over low inventory, driving the median price for single family homes (excluding condos) in King County to $935,000, and approaching last year’s record of $998,888,” commented John Deely, executive vice president of operations at Coldwell Banker Bain.

Deely noted King County residential properties (single family homes) have had a 19.7% increase in the median sold price year to date (YTD). “San Juan County reported a median sales price of $1,096,000 for last month’s sales – a 14.2% increase from a year ago.” NWMLS statistics show that county’s price for sales of single family homes has surged more than 35% since January.

“Although at a lower velocity than previous years, low inventory and higher interest rates keep the overall market in a more balanced state as sales keep pace with new and existing inventory,” Deely remarked while noting the three most populated counties (King, Pierce and Snohomish) all maintained less than 1.5 months of inventory.

At the end of June, buyers could choose from 10,607 total active listings. Overall, that volume declined about 21% from a year ago. Eleven counties had year-over-year gains in inventory, led by Kittitas (up 45%) and Jefferson (up more than 37%).

“We have multiple open houses with many visitors every weekend,” stated JoAnna Harrison, a member of the NWMLS board of directors, commenting on activity in Chelan County, which was one of the counties that notched a year-over-year increase in total active listings, at 17%.

“Chelan County is seeing an increase in seller activity coming from the Leavenworth area due to the recent restrictions on short-term rentals.” (In May, Chelan County said no new applications for short-term rentals would be taken for the 98826 zip code area, encompassing Leavenworth, Plain and Lake Wenatchee, during the current application period ending July 31 because these areas are either over capacity or do not allow short-term rentals.)

Harrison, the managing broker at CB Cascade in Wenatchee, said finding buyers in the price point ranging from $450,000-to-$600,000 in the Wenatchee Valley is slowing down, but added, “We still have a large demand of buyers for the area, but they are looking for homes that are well cared for and updated.”

Dean Rebhuhn, owner at Village Homes and Properties in Woodinville, also reported “very active” open house traffic during June and the first weekend in July. “It’s going to be a hot summer sales season, with low inventory and lifestyle changes driving the market. Multiple offers over listed prices are increasing for well-priced properties.”

Seventeen counties reported a sales price to list price ratio of 99% or higher for last month’s completed transactions of single family home sales, topped by Kitsap County at 104.9%. Also surpassing the 100% ratio were Franklin, King, Pierce, Snohomish, Thurston, Jefferson, Skagit, Clark, Island and Cowlitz counties.

The median price for last month’s 6,842 closed sales was $625,000. That is a drop of 3.85% from a year ago, but prices are up about 12.2% since January when the median price was $557,250. Seventeen counties reported double-digit price gains since January.

“Sale prices in King and Snohomish counties rose for the fifth consecutive month and are only modestly lower than a year ago,” observed Windermere Chief Economist Matthew Gardner. “It will be interesting to see if this trend can continue given the stubbornly high mortgage rates.”

NWMLS director Frank Leach said despite YOY (year-over-year) declines in listings, sales, and prices in Kitsap County, there is pent-up demand. “We have a lot of new inventory coming online. While the spike in interest rates may have held buyers at bay, they are now coming out in droves and we are dealing with multiple offers – in many cases above list price offers with few or no concessions,” said Leach, broker/owner at RE/MAX Platinum Services in Silverdale. The number of cash transactions is also increasing, he noted.

“With the USS Ronald Reagan relocating to Bremerton from Japan and the recent return of the USS Nimitz after a seven-month deployment, rental housing in Kitsap County is at a premium,” according to Leach. “People are now making the move as inventory increases ever so slightly and slowly.”

Leach also reported a robust uptick in building permits, “a barometer for growth in the county,” and he expects an increase in available condominiums, noting YOY supply rose from 1.5 months to 2.33 months.

Commenting on listing activity, economist Gardner noted the number of homes for sale in the tri-county area (King, Pierce and Snohomish) jumped nearly 16.6% from May. “That said, the number of homes for sale in the Central Puget Sound area in June was down 48% from the same month in 2019 (pre-pandemic). I believe much of the reason for this is that almost 33% of in-state homeowners have mortgage rates at or below 3%, and 87% of owners have rates below 5%. There is little incentive to list your home for sale if you don’t have to,” he remarked.

Condos accounted for about 13% of last month’s activity for both total active listings and for closed sales. Brokers reported 886 completed transactions at a median selling price of $483,500, nearly matching the year-ago price of $485,000 for condos sales.

Of last month’s sales of single family homes (excluding condos), more than 21% commanded a price of $1 million or more. About a third (33.4%) sold in the range of $500,000 to $749,999.

June 2023 sales by price range (single family homes only)

Sale Price Range %
$1 – $299,999 4.57%
$300,000 – $499,999 23.31%
$500,000 – $749,999 33.43%
$750,000 – $999,999 17.41%
$1,000,000 – $2,499,999 19.45%
$2,500,000 & higher 1.83%
Total 100%

About Northwest Multiple Listing Service

As the leading resource for the region’s residential real estate industry, NWMLS provides valuable products and services, superior member support, and the most trusted, current listing data and industry information for real estate professionals. NWMLS is a member-owned, not-for-profit organization with more than 2,500 member offices and 32,000 real estate brokers throughout Washington state. With extensive knowledge of the region, NWMLS operates 20 service centers and serves 26 counties, providing dedicated support to its members and fostering a robust, cooperative brokerage environment. nwmls.com.

Single Fam. Homes + Condos New Listings Total
Active
Listings
# Pending Sales # Closed
Sales
Avg.
Closed
Price
Median
Closed
Price
This mo. Inventory Same mo., yr ago
King 3,242 3,013 2,610 2,400 $1,045,079 $830,000 1.26 1.34
Snohomish 1,198 923 1,090 910 $816,878 $749,950 1.01 1.34
Pierce 1,410 1,331 1,180 1,035 $596,159 $531,000 1.29 1.35
Kitsap 497 536 418 400 $698,652 $550,666 1.34 1.28
Mason 164 234 123 113 $457,193 $400,000 2.07 2.03
Skagit 180 233 160 148 $606,534 $550,500 1.57 1.64
Grays Harbor 184 381 142 100 $369,641 $352,250 3.81 2.67
Lewis 145 230 102 84 $468,758 $415,500 2.74 2.58
Cowlitz 129 169 114 96 $415,823 $392,000 1.76 1.68
Grant 117 241 92 91 $408,732 $349,990 2.65 1.94
Thurston 497 439 451 395 $550,981 $514,000 1.11 1.16
San Juan 47 148 30 18 $1,138,222 $923,000 8.22 4.44
Island 206 252 169 135 $657,224 $575,000 1.87 1.46
Kittitas 138 290 75 62 $638,804 $529,997 4.68 2.06
Jefferson 82 133 58 52 $645,785 $592,975 2.56 1.83
Okanogan 77 183 57 38 $531,763 $540,000 4.82 2.10
Whatcom 410 597 335 287 $621,003 $575,000 2.08 1.72
Clark 134 143 91 73 $627,194 $555,000 1.96 1.79
Pacific 82 186 60 47 $380,502 $326,500 3.96 2.65
Ferry 9 26 6 6 $255,750 $277,500 4.33 3.86
Clallam 104 161 108 88 $543,382 $472,475 1.83 1.56
Chelan 170 289 106 96 $674,692 $547,500 3.01 2.45
Douglas 63 79 59 43 $531,913 $488,000 1.84 2.50
Adams 22 43 20 20 $374,442 $376,250 2.15 1.71
Walla Walla 60 118 44 61 $511,274 $455,000 1.93 1.62
Columbia 10 19 1 3 $406,667 $520,000 6.33 5.40
Others 104 210 58 41 $439,741 $375,000 5.12 2.79
Total 9,481 10,607 7,759 6,842 $774,624 $625,000 1.55 1.48

4-county Puget Sound Region Pending Sales (SFH + Condo combined)

(totals include King, Snohomish, Pierce & Kitsap counties)

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
2004 4521 6284 8073 7910 7888 8186 7583 7464 6984 6761 6228 5195
2005 5426 6833 8801 8420 8610 8896 8207 8784 7561 7157 6188 4837
2006 5275 6032 8174 7651 8411 8094 7121 7692 6216 6403 5292 4346
2007 4869 6239 7192 6974 7311 6876 6371 5580 4153 4447 3896 2975
2008 3291 4167 4520 4624 4526 4765 4580 4584 4445 3346 2841 2432
2009 3250 3407 4262 5372 5498 5963 5551 5764 5825 5702 3829 3440
2010 4381 5211 6821 7368 4058 4239 4306 4520 4350 4376 3938 3474
2011 4272 4767 6049 5732 5963 5868 5657 5944 5299 5384 4814 4197
2012 4921 6069 7386 7015 7295 6733 6489 6341 5871 6453 5188 4181
2013 5548 6095 7400 7462 7743 7374 7264 6916 5951 6222 5083 3957
2014 5406 5587 7099 7325 8055 7546 7169 6959 6661 6469 5220 4410
2015 5791 6541 8648 8671 8620 8608 8248 7792 7179 6977 5703 4475
2016 5420 6703 8130 8332 9153 8869 8545 8628 7729 7487 6115 4727
2017 5710 6024 7592 7621 9188 9042 8514 8637 7441 7740 6094 4460
2018 5484 5725 7373 7565 8742 8052 7612 6893 6235 6367 5328 4037
2019 5472 4910 7588 8090 8597 8231 7773 7345 6896 6797 5788 4183
2020 5352 6078 6477 5066 7297 8335 8817 9179 8606 7934 6122 4851
2021 5216 5600 8002 7716 8674 8824 8049 8586 7880 7405 6022 3943
2022 4405 5560 7312 6908 7482 6031 5934 6581 5208 4410 3521 2778
2023 4111 4402 4951 4966 5578 5298

Northwest Multiple Listing Service